Up 100%: Litecoin Value Units Q1 Efficiency Report
Litecoin’s (LTC) value has doubled within the first three months of 2019 to register its finest first-quarter efficiency on report.
The fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is at the moment buying and selling at $61, representing a 100 p.c achieve on January’s opening value of $30. It clocked a six-month excessive of $64.20 earlier this month, based on Bitfinex knowledge.
Final 12 months, costs had dropped 48.5, 30, 24.6 and 49 p.c in every quarter, respectively. The four-quarter shedding streak was the second largest on report and noticed costs fall by 86 p.c.
- As could be seen, LTC’s 100 p.c rise in Q1, 2019, is the most important first-quarter achieve on report.
- This the second time that LTC has appreciated within the first three months of the calendar 12 months. The cryptocurrency final rallied in Q1 two years in the past.
The stellar good points seen within the first quarter of 2019 could possibly be related to the mining reward halving, due later this 12 months.
On Aug. 8, the reward for mining on the litecoin blockchain might be decreased from 25 LTC to 12.5 LTC. The shift means miners might be including fewer cash to the ecosystem after August, probably main to produce deficit.
The method is repeated each 4 years and tends to place a bid underneath the cryptocurrency at the least six to seven months prematurely, based on historic knowledge.
As an example, LTC created a long-term low close to $1.12 in January 2015 and rose to highs above $8.70 in July earlier than falling again beneath $4.00 forward of Aug. 25 – a day when the mining reward was lower in half from 50 to 25 LTC.
With bitcoin rallying 100 p.c in Q1, historical past appears to be repeating itself. So, LTC may rise even additional within the second quarter, albeit after a pullback, as technical charts are displaying indicators of bullish exhaustion.
Day by day and weekly charts
On the day by day chart, the relative power index (RSI) has created a sequence of decrease highs versus greater highs in value. That bearish divergence on the RSI signifies purchaser exhaustion and scope for a pullback, probably to rapid help at $53.00 (March 12 low).
Acceptance beneath that degree would affirm a short-term bearish reversal and open the doorways to $45.00, which marks the confluence of the 200-day and 200-week transferring common (MA).
On the upper aspect, a high-volume transfer above the current excessive of $64.20 would revive the bullish view, though that appears unlikely for now, because the longer length MA research are nonetheless biased bearish.
LTC appears to have discovered acceptance above the 10-month MA, at the moment at $53.60. The typical, nevertheless, continues to be trending south, indicating a bearish setup. Because of this, additional good points, if any, could possibly be short-lived and a sustained rally will seemingly unfold as soon as the typical has bottomed out.
Validating that argument is the truth that LTC consolidated across the 10-month MA for nearly a 12 months earlier than getting into the bull market in Q1 2017.
Disclosure: The creator holds no cryptocurrency property on the time of writing.
Litecoin picture by way of Shutterstock; charts by Buying and selling View